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Retirement Drawdown Scenario

Explore a savings balance with monthly withdrawals, an assumed return and increasing living costs.

Calculator inputs

SCENARIO INPUTS

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CALCULATED SCENARIO

Balance at the end of the model

$0.00

From your inputs. Explore the breakdown below.

Actual modeled withdrawals
$1,270,808.78
Modeled investment growth
$520,808.78
First depletion
26 yr 10 mo
Projection length
30 years
Remaining portfolio over the entered model periodRemaining portfolio begins at $750,000.00 and ends at $0.00. This is an illustration from the entered assumptions.Now30 yr
Remaining portfolioIllustrative model · CAD
Method & sources ↓
  • A constant-return model cannot measure market sequence risk.
  • Withdrawals stop when funds are depleted; this is not a safe-withdrawal or longevity guarantee.

FOLLOW THE CASH FLOW

Annual cash-flow totals

Balance is the period-end value; growth and payments are totals for that year or final partial year. Download the ledger for every modeled period. Figures in CAD.

Annual model cash-flow totals, in Canadian dollars
YearClosing balanceInterest / growthPayment / withdrawal
1$743,012.25$29,341.07$36,328.82
2$735,005.23$29,048.38$37,055.40
3$725,923.37$28,714.65$37,796.50
4$715,708.61$28,337.67$38,552.43
5$704,300.22$27,915.09$39,323.48
6$691,634.76$27,444.49$40,109.95
7$677,645.93$26,923.32$40,912.15
8$662,264.46$26,348.93$41,730.39
9$645,417.99$25,718.53$42,565.00
10$627,030.92$25,029.23$43,416.30
11$607,024.29$24,278.00$44,284.63
12$585,315.63$23,461.67$45,170.32
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CHANGE ONE VARIABLEWhat moves your answer?

Compare five values while keeping every other input the same. These are scenarios, not likelihoods or forecasts.

Annual return assumption · other inputs unchanged
Input valuePrimary resultUse scenario

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BEHIND THE ANSWER

Formula and method

Ending monthly balance = opening balance × (1 + equivalent monthly return) − available withdrawal.

The annual effective return is converted to a monthly equivalent. Growth occurs before each month-end withdrawal; requested withdrawals rise at the entered annual increase, converted monthly. Actual withdrawals are capped at funds available, so balances do not become negative.

Context sources checked October 24, 2026

These sources explain the subject. The model follows the formula and assumptions shown here; a source link does not imply endorsement.

Worked examples

Thirty-year illustration

Starting investment balance:
750000
First monthly withdrawal:
3000
Annual return assumption:
4
Annual withdrawal increase:
2
Projection length:
30

Balance at the end of the model: $0.00

Twelve withdrawals without growth

Starting investment balance:
12000
First monthly withdrawal:
1000
Annual return assumption:
0
Annual withdrawal increase:
0
Projection length:
1

Balance at the end of the model: $0.00

Assumptions and limits

  • Constant deterministic return; no volatile return paths or sequence-of-return analysis.
  • No income tax, account restrictions, pension/CPP/OAS income or estate costs.
  • Use an appropriately scoped return assumption after any costs you want reflected.

This tool provides an educational estimate. Rules, rates and personal circumstances can change the answer. Review the assumptions before relying on a result. Report a correction.

Common mistakes to avoid

  • Treating an illustrative rate as a lender quote or a return forecast.
  • Comparing scenarios with different time periods or leaving out relevant fees.

Frequently asked questions

Does a remaining balance mean my retirement plan is safe?

No. The model assumes a constant return and does not simulate market losses, tax, longevity or personal spending changes. It is one scenario to discuss with a qualified adviser.

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